All other things being equal, batting average on ball in play (BABIP) is interpreted by sabermetricians as a measure of luck. Batters who hit the ball hard, but right at defenders suffer from low BABIP, and those who seem to always hit seeing-eye grounders usually have high BABIPs. If luck is believed to be a factor, here are three bounceback candidates:

Nick Swisher, 1B/OF (.245 BABIP). Beyond the Box Score has already done a very thorough analysis, so I won’t be redundant here.

Jason Giambi, 1B (.227 BABIP). Giambi’s not quite as washed up as people seem to think he is. His 20.0% LD and 16.8% HR/fly ball rate indicate good things to come. He’s also hit just .119 with RISP, which means with regression his RBI production is probably due for a jump.

Adrian Beltre, 3B (.241 BABIP). Beltre has a 20.7% LD rate and is hitting just .158 with RISP. He’s even stolen 5 bases, increasing his value. Credit to THT’s Matthew Carruth.