The 2009 Oliver hitters projections are out. For those of you not familiar with Brian Cartwright’s Oliver the Chimpanzee projections, they are a slightly more sophisticated projection model taking into account 3 years of performance, regression, aging and some batted ball data. Similar to the type of analysis I have done, but better. All stats are neutralized, and so do not include park effects.
Some tidbits to make you hungry for more:
Matt Wieters, BAL, C. He has a projected .294/.373/.487 equivalent line. If he got 450 AB, he could slam 20 HR and instantly become one of the top hitting catchers in baseball.
Matt LaPorta, CLE, 3B. It may not be this year, but LaPorta will be an Indian soon. He’s projected at .252/.336/.497 with 23 HR in just 375 AB. Could they have another Ryan Braun on their hands?
The unique thing about the Oliver projections is that all the minor leaguers are included from Class A and higher. He even has college data incorporated in there. That’s 2447 projections, a ridiculous amount of work, freely available in XLS or CSV format. Go get you some projection on. Thanks, Brian!
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December 1, 2008 at 2:03 am
Guancous
LaPorta got traded to the Indians in the Sabathia deal. Thanks for the spreadsheet!
December 1, 2008 at 5:06 pm
redsoxtalk
Of course he is, my bad. Sometimes I’m in such a hurry to write things up that my brain farts. Thanks for the heads up.